Monday, March 17, 2025

OUCH! Sidestep These Gold & Silver Blunders...

Breaking News from America's #1 Precious Metals Dealer
Money Metals Exchange
Money Metals News Alert
March 17, 2025 – Gold and silver prices shined last week. Gold managed to briefly break through $3,000/oz and silver closed at its highest level since 2012.

The metals have been outperforming U.S. equities for more than two decades, but the past few weeks have put a spotlight on that fact.

There are a number of potential factors driving the recent outperformance.

Tariffs will be disruptive to multinational companies reliant on overseas manufacturing and imports.

At the same time, much of the U.S. supply of gold and silver comes from Canada, Mexico, and South America where tariffs are expected to make imported metal more expensive.

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And the U.S. Congress has just punted once again when it comes to reining in inflationary government spending.

Despite higher metal prices, demand in the retail bullion markets remains muted, premiums are low, and inventories are plentiful. While some investors are encouraged by the strong price action, others view the higher prices as an opportunity to sell.

 
Friday's Close
(Weekly Gain/Loss)
Monday Morning
(Gain/Loss from Friday's Close)
Gold
$2,996 (+2.6%)
$3,000 (+0.1%)
Silver
$33.99 (+3.8%)
$33.76 (-0.7%)
Platinum
$1,012 (+2.8%)
$1,016 (+0.4%)
Palladium
$1,000 (+1.4%)
$1,006 (+0.6%)
Gold : Silver Ratio (as of Friday's closing prices) – 88.1 to 1
Sidestep These Gold & Silver Blunders...
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The unfortunate truth is that it is possible for bullion investors to lose money in an up market. Some buyers are learning that lesson now, and it is worth sharing.

Those who understand how these markets work can make better decisions about what to buy and when. They might even take advantage of the bullion market idiosyncrasies to magnify gains.

At Money Metals, we go to great lengths to educate the public about this topic. However, not everyone has seen or taken our advice.

An example: One of our clients was among the waves of investors buying coins, rounds, and bars in 2021. They ignored our warnings to stick with low premium bars and rounds – and instead chose to purchase silver American Eagles which were in very short supply at the time.

Premiums for that coin – the amount bullion dealers charge above the silver market price – were at unprecedented highs due to inventory shortages.

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It was the result of a potent combination of factors. Eagles were the most popular silver product any bullion dealer sold. The market was flooded with buyers while sellers had vanished.

U.S. Mint Incompetence Causes Erratic Premium Swings

And Eagles are produced by the inept U.S. Mint, an absolutely incompetent organization which actually dramatically shrank production despite overwhelming demand!

Money Metals had been loudly encouraging clients to avoid paying the inflated premiums and turning to other items. We regularly published warnings about Eagles being significantly overpriced. However, there has always been a strong impulse among buyers to stick with official U.S. Mint coins.

The silver market price at the time was $25.20/oz. The premium was a whopping $14/oz. So our client paid more than $39 for each 1 oz coin. (Other dealers were charging even more.)

Treasury US Mint Seal
The U.S. Mint has become notorious for its mismanagement.
Last week, when the client called to discuss selling, he discovered the premiums had collapsed. There are plenty of sellers now, and the sky-high premiums in recent years have come way down.

The silver price had risen to $33.50, but the total bid price, including the bid premium, for his Eagles was about $34/ea. The client is currently underwater by roughly $5/coin despite silver being $8 higher.

Avoid High Premium Items and Focus on the "Melt Value"

The first thing to understand about bullion investing is that the metal you buy has TWO components. There are essentially two independent markets driving bullion prices and they don't necessarily move in the same direction.

The first component is the market price, or "spot" price for the metal, and it is set in the futures markets. This is the price talked about in the media and it is what most people focus on.

The other component is the premium mentioned above. This is a price gold and silver dealers add to the market price to determine the total price for any retail bullion product.

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When it comes to premiums, the manufacturing capacity of mints and refiners who produce coins, rounds, and retail-size bars matters a great deal. So does the volume of buying and selling amongst bullion investors.

In other words, mine output and the availability of large COMEX deliverable bars haven't been much of a factor in premiums – at least up to this point. It's all about supply and demand in retail coins, rounds, and bars...

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This week's Market Update was authored by Money Metals Director Clint Siegner.
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